Thread:
Seeing many BJP supporters getting very pessimistic about Maharashtra Assembly Election outcome for BJP & NDA!
I really don't see why!
Pls understand that General &
Assembly Elections are different.
Pls Ponder upon some points.
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1. NDA lost majority seats in 2024 Election by slight margin inspite of getting lead in 3-4 Assembly Seats, but losing with 1-2 Assemblies because of Vote Jih@d. Now, every Constituency is separate. So result of 6 Constituencies which turned into 0-1 for NDA, can now be 4-2.
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2. NDA could keep its voter base intact, but lost Dalit+Dhangar Votes who were misled by false promises of Thakathak Rs 8500 & terrified by INDI Alliance that if #Modi Ji wins, constitution will be changed to cancel reservations. Today, they realise that they've been fooled.
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3. BJP Cadre which was literally absent on Ground due to Overconfidence & Lethargy, is going to get a big kick now to hit ground.
4. Eknath Shinde Ji's Shiv Sena asked for more bite than what it can chew, in 2024 Elections. But couldn't get 60-70% strike rate.
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That hurts its Bargaining Power. That means, BJP getting to contest more seats than 2019 Elections.
5. Ajit Pawar in NDA or outside NDA, can win 22-23 seats on his own, if he is can hold his leaders. Even "IF" he leaves NDA right now, he can easily gell later after verdict.
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6. .@AmitShah Ji has started taking personal interest in रणनीति of Maharashtra Elections. He is master of Social Engineering as proved times again.
7. BJP has appointed Master strategist .@byadavbjp as election in charge of Maharashtra elections.
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Bhupender Yadav had been BJP's poll in-charge of Rajasthan 2013,
Maharashtra & Jharkhand 2014, Uttar Pradesh 2017 & Bihar 2020 State Elections...all of which were won by BJP/NDA.
8. .@Dev_Fadnavis Ji has already activated Cadre. There is no doubt on his appeal & leadership.
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Uddhav Thackeray & Sharad Pawar were facing existential crisis in 2024 General Election. They survived & infact, passed with flying colours. NOW, it's a Do or Die situation for Maharashtra BJP, Eknath Shinde Ji & Ajit Pawar.
And BJP always performs best when under pressure.
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So....pls don't fall for Negativity. Realistically speaking, NDA has 52-48 edge over opposition, which can be increased with coordinated & hard efforts in coming days.
I haven't focused on numbers or percentages, as I believe that Elections aren't won on Arithmetic. They are won on Chemistry!
Ps: I, personally, would love to see BJP contesting atleast 155-160 seats individually with max 128-133 seats to allies if BJP+Sena+NCP contest together. If only BJP+Sena, I would wish BJP to contest atleast 190 seats. More seats BJP contests alone, more are chances of winning Assembly. Simple!
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