25 Tweets 34 reads Mar 21, 2024
In this Detailed Thread 🧵 we'll look to analyse a SMALLCAP Company 'RUSHIL DECOR LTD 🛋️' Each and every neeche details about this company will be covered in this thread from its Business, to its fundamentals, to its product mix, to its financials, to its
#RushilDecor
Management, to its Chart Pattern analysis 📉📈, to its valuation gap ⚖️♎ and at last I'll give my final commentary👨‍💻 about this stock.
☑️ABOUT THE COMPANY
💫Rushil Decor Ltd is primarily engaged in manufacturing and sale of Laminate Sheets, Medium Density Fibre Board,
Pre Laminated Medium Density Fibre Boards, Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Board and Particle Board.
☑️MDF BOARD SEGMENT(50% of Revenues)
💫The company is a leading manufacturer of medium density fiber board (MDF) in India and operates through its brand Vir MDF, VIR Prelam etc.
💫The company has a distribution network of 150+ distributors and 1,100+ dealers for this segment.
💫It operated at 94.7% capacity utilization in FY20.
☑️Laminates Segment (48% of revenues)
💫The company produces laminates and operates through its key brands Vir Laminates and
Signor.
💫It has a portfolio of 500+ designs and 50+ textures and finishes under this segment.
💫It has a network of ~50 distributors and ~2,000 dealers across India.
☑️PVC BOARDS SEGMENT (2% of Revenues)
💫The company entered into the production of PVC Boards through its
facility which started operations in 2018.
💫It operates through its existing distribution channels of its laminates segment.
☑️MANUFACTURING CAPABILITIES
💫Presently, the company owns 6 manufacturing facilities across Gujarat, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh.
Its capacities are:-
✔️Laminates:- 35 lakhs sheets P.a.
✔️MDF Boards:- 1100 CBM Per Day
✔️PVC:- 5760 TPA
☑️Recent Expansion
💫The company undertook major expansion plan to build a new manufacturing unit for thin & thick MDF Boards in Andhra Pradesh with a capacity of 800 CBM
Per day.
💫The total cost of the project was Rs 341 Crores which was funded through a debt of Rs 280 Crores and equity infusion of Rs 40 Crores through internal accurals.
💫The unit started regular commercial production from March 2021.
Fundamental Analysis♎⚖️
✅Market Capitalisation:- Rs 779 Cr(Smallcap)
✅Stock PE:- 16.3(Undervalued)
✅Industry PE:- 28.6
✅Book Value:- Rs 185
✅Dividend Yield:- 0.17%
✅ROCE:- 16.9%
✅ROE:- 23.9%
✅Face Value:- 10
✅Intrinsic Value:- Rs 173
✅Graham No:- Rs 274
✅3 Years Sales Growth:- 36%
✅3 Years Net Profits Growth:- 50%
✅EPS:- 18
✅Debt to Equity:- 0.63
✅Debt:- Rs 308 Cr
✅Reserves:- Rs 465 Cr
✅Fixed Assets:- 633 Cr
✅Piotroski Score:- 9
✅PEG:- 0.81
✅ Pledged:- 13.3%
Last 3/5/10 Years Sales Growth💹Profit💹,CAGR,ROE,AR,CF👇
☑️Chart Pattern Analysis 📉📈 Financial Analysis♎⚖️, Valuation Gap and my Final Commentary
⭐ Chart Pattern Analysis (Monthly Timeframes
✔️The stock has a Horizontal support placed at Rs 200+ and the Horizontal Resistance is placed at Rs 400.
✔️A new leg of Rally 💹 will begin in RUSHIL DECOR above Rs 400+ CBS the next Resistance is placed at Rs 560 above Rs 600 RUSHIL DECOR has the potential to March till its 2017 ATH of Rs 927+
⭐ Financial Analysis ♎, Valuation Gap, and my Final Commentary
✔️In FY24 on TTM Basis(Presumably Assuming that Q4 Sales will be a repeat 🔁 of Q3FY24) RUSHIL DECOR has the potential 💎 💎 to do a Sales of Rs 824 Cr
✔️Rushil Decor Operating Profits of FY24
(Presumably Assuming that Q3 Operating Profits to be a repeat of Q3FY24) RUSHIL has the potential 💎💎 to do Rs 120 Cr Operating Profits in FY24
✔️As per Management guidance as per the recent filling to the Regulatory body. RUSHIL DECOR has ventured into Eco-friendly Plyboard
Segment, and it targets 🎯 Rs 300 Crores additional turnovers from Ply and Laminate Projects in FY25-26.
✔️Rushil Decor aims to acheive Rs 1200 Cr Revenues and a EBITA of Rs 200 Cr in FY25-26
✔️If RUSHIL DECOR acheives Rs 1200 Cr Revenues and a EBITA of Rs 200 Cr in FY25-26
then it means that its Sales will increase by about 45% 💹 and its Operating Profits will increase by about 66% 💹 from the FY24 levels
✔️After achievement of Desired Sales and Operating Profits and reducing all the Interests, Depreciation and Taxes; RUSHIL DECOR future
Expected EPS will be around 40+(This is just an illustrative figure derived as per the past performance and management guidance)
✔️Rushil Decor as per the next 2 Years Earnings growth is available at just 7.35 PE Ratio this makes Rushil Decor very cheap as its current Industry
PE Ratio is at 28.6
✔️Rushil Decor has witnessed a good growth 💹 trajectory. Its Sales were flat from FY16 to FY21. Sales used to hover around Rs 300 Cr to Rs 340 Cr
✔️In FY22, Rushil Decor witnessed a Sales of Rs 824 Cr. Its Sales increased by about 86.01% on YOY Basis.
✔️In FY23, Rushil Decor witnessed a Sales of Rs 838 Cr it means its Sales increased by about 34.40% on YOY Basis.
✔️If the company achieves Rs 1200 Cr Sales and Operating Profits in FY26 then it will be RUSHIL highest ever Sales and Operating Profits in the Business History.
✔️If the company sees a Sales of Rs 1200 Cr in FY26 it will see a significant amount of jump in Revenue from FY21 Rs 335 Cr to FY26 Rs 1200 Cr.
✔️It means Rushil Decor will witness an expected Sales growth of 29.0706% in 5 Years from FY21 to FY26
✔️Rushil Decor ATH came in FY17 When its Sales was only at Rs 306 Cr and Operating Profits was only at Rs 48 Cr
✔️At its ATH market rewarded it with 95 PE Ratio if Rushil acheives Rs 1200 Cr Revenue and Rs 200 Cr Operating Profits then its Sales will increase by about
400% and Operating Profits too will increase by 400% from FY17
✔️Rushil Decor last 10 Years Median PE is 46.7 the Market has rewareded it with 100+ PE Ratio 4 times in the past in FY17, FY19, FY21, FY22.
✔️If the Market rewards Rushil Decor with just 25 PE Ratio and
Expecting its EPS to be at 40 what will be the expected share price. Calculate it on your own self.
40 (EPS) * 25 PE Ratio= ??
Try to Retweet ♻️ this thread 🧵 so that it reaches more market participants as this company is very unknown. This thread took about 5 Hours time to be made to try to Retweet it so that it motivates me to bring more such Business thread in the future.
Disclaimer : Kindly consult your FA before buying / Selling any shares. This analysis is only for educational purposes and not recommendations.
Don't Buy on the basis of this thread 🧵 if you make profits you gonna not share with me likewise I'll not be responsible for loss too.

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