Edgy - The DeFi Edge 🗡️
Edgy - The DeFi Edge 🗡️

@thedefiedge

32 تغريدة 12 قراءة Jan 11, 2024
The Crypto Bull Market is here.
You can make life-changing money in the next 2 years, but ONLY IF you use the right strategies.
Here's my step-by-step playbook to maximize your profits:
(includes portfolio strategies and choosing narratives)
What you'll learn:
• Portfolio strategies
• Narrative selection
• Bull market frameworks
Bookmark the tweet above because you'll want easy access to it when things start going crazy.
Let's begin.
Building a Portfolio
Here's MY approach.
1. Long Term investments
2. Stablecoins
3. Focus on 3 Narratives
Note: You might go through multiple narratives throughout the cycle to maximize profits.
% allocation depends on your risk tolerance & goals
Long Term Investments
Start with your long-term investments. These are the projects that you plan to hold over several years.
Ex: BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB
Your goal is to gain outsized returns on hot narratives. You then secure profits into long-term bags, fiat, or stablecoins.
Narrow Your Focus
The space has become too large to keep up with everything. You can only keep up with so many protocols, metrics, discords, podcasts, etc.
You gain an edge by going down the rabbit hole far deeper than others.
Choose 2 to 3 Narratives to focus on.
Choosing Narratives
There are so many sectors out there - how do you choose which ones to focus on?
Here's what you should look for.
(Fits your Thesis x Fits your Strengths x Right Timing)
There are so many horses - you're betting on the fastest horse you can ride.
What to Look For
1. Thesis - what are your beliefs about Crypto? Which ones do you have the strongest conviction in?
2. Strength - Focusing on where you're strong, & what you enjoy researching
3. Timing - It's hot now or has the potential to be hot soon.
Sector Examples:
• A.I.
• RWA
• LSDfi
• BRC20
• DePin
• Privacy
• GameFi
• TG Bots
• GambleFi
• Dex Perps
• Memecoins
• Alt L1s / L2s
You can find more at CoinGecko's categories.
Example
• I'm not into GameFi - too many variables such as gameplay, gamefi tokenomics, etc. There's going to be a few winners but I don't have an edge here, and don't have interest.
• I believe A.I. has a ton of potential. It's something that retail understands + A.I. hype.
After Selecting a Narrative
Ok, so you've identified a narrative you like. You need to invest in a few protocols to profit from it.
My personal strategy is a barbell approach by investing in an alpha and beta play for each narrative.
Why Alpha Plays?
Alpha play = leading protocol of each narrative.
Examples:
• Perps = $GMX
• A.I. = $TAO
• Liquid Staking = $LDO
I've observed that most people would be far more profitable if they simply stuck to the alpha plays (than constantly chasing betas).
Why?
1. Attention flows toward the market leader - especially with retail
2. Betting on the alpha is safer compared to getting rugged by higher-risk betas.
3. Simple. It's easier to bet on the leader than to determine which of the 15+ forks to choose.
Beta Plays
We're degens, of course we'll try to find the next 100x! Beta = higher risk, high returns.
Since you're invested in the alpha, you want the beta play to be different.
Example: It's on a different chain or has a different value proposition.
Portfolio
Here's what a final portfolio might look like based on my strategy.
(Remember, this is just an example to illustrate.)
% allocation depends on your goals, time horizon, or risk tolerances.
I'm sharing frameworks so you can build a portfolio that fits YOU.
The Hotball of Money
Bull markets are all about attention.
Imagine yourself as a surfer. Your goal is to find and ride the most giant waves. As soon as a wave is dying, hop on a different one.
That's why the narratives you're focused on now may change throughout the cycle.
Dying Narratives
You want to get off of a dying wave (and hop on a bigger one). How do you know it's dying?
1) Metrics. Metrics such as TVL, transactions, and users will decline.
2) Sentiment. You know it's dying when the rational fanboys slowly stop mentioning it
Protocols Riding Multiple Waves
As protocols grow, you can see their roadmaps becoming more ambitious.
And some protocols can benefit from riding MULTIPLE waves.
Think of it as them gaining the attention of multiple audiences.
Can you think of any?
Pumping Framework
Midcurvers lose every cycle because they try to apply value investing frameworks to a speculative market.
What matters is (Attention x Stories)
1. Attention: How protocols create mindshare
2. Stories: Reasons why someone would buy
Attention Framework
The average Crypto user has the attention span of a goldfish.
A good product is essential, but the price won't pump if a protocol doesn't know the dark arts of marketing and distribution.
So, I look for protocols that understand this.
Stories
People buy because they believe the price will go up.
Stories are the reasons why they believe others will buy after them.
• Rising metrics
• Increasing demand
• Superior product - cheaper & faster than ETH
• Upcoming catalysts such as Version 2 or Binance listing
Simple Stories Sell
New liquidity will come from unsophisticated investors.
Think..."What can your dumb cousin easily explain & shill to his friends?"
They'll have no idea why "Curve" tokens are valuable.
Simple narratives include A.I., RWA, and Web 3 gaming.
Portfolio Mistakes
• Over diversifying: 5 - 7 protocols is the sweet spot
• Mistiming the market. Aggressive now, conservative towards the end of the cycle
• Holding onto losers.
• Too much rotation.
Increasing Income
It's the gold rush, and trading isn't the only way to make money.
There are:
1) Airdrops
2) Getting a Web 3 job
3) Starting a side hustle
Every extra $100 you can earn is dry powder you can use to earn even more.
Cut the Losers
The trend is your friend, and everything is momentum-based. Too many people marry their bags & hope it'll break even again.
You can set a simple rule.
Example: "If the token goes down by 15%, I'm cutting it."
Cut losers and add to your winners.
The Trend is Your Friend
After a protocol pump, it's easy to think, "Oh, it already went up 10x - I'm too late."
It can pump even further. We underestimate the power of FOMO and retail liquidity.
Don't forget that PRICE IS A NARRATIVE.
Feeling Underexposed?
As the market heats up, you'll feel underexposed and insane FOMO. Don't be tempted to the dark side.
• Don't use leverage.
• Don't borrow money - don't tap into your credit cards, retirement accounts, or home equity.
It ALWAYS ends up in disaster.
The Best Research
Download a burner wallet and fund it with a few hundred bucks. Spend an hour every day just trying out new apps.
Sometimes, you won't understand a product just from reading a thread about it. You have to use it.
Plus, you'll get more airdrops this way.
Taking Profits
1. Don't try to time the top - DCA out.
2. Take profits into your long-term bags or Stables
3. Taking profits & putting them into riskier plays isn't taking profits.
4. Set simple rules. Ex: "If the bag 3x, I will take out the principal and convert it to USDT"
Exiting the Cycle
No one can time the top perfectly - the ones who think they can are the ones who are going to give their gains back to the markets.
Thinking "Just 3 more months" is dangerous.
Consider dollar cost averaging out.
Get out of the Bubble
CT is its own echo chamber.
Hang out on YouTube, TikTok, Reddit, & Instagram to see what your exit liquidity is thinking.
Also, English Twitter is a bubble. Find ways to see what the Chinese / Korean traders think.
Finding the 10x is the easy part.
You fuck up by not being happy with the 10x. And lose it all trying to chase after that 25x.
If you've made profits that can increase your life, then SECURE it. Or have fun being exit liquidity for the big boys.
Alright, that's it.
There's a lot more, but we've reached the attention span limit of Twitter.
This thread took 40 hrs to write, but 7+ years of being in the trenches to learn the lessons.
If you enjoyed this tweet, help me out by liking and sharing the original tweet below.

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