As this war has now extended beyond a year and a half, the issue of cost efficiency becomes even more important. Using the illustration of a russian logistical facility located in Yakymivka, Zaporizhia Oblast, I will explain this challenge in a straightforward manner.
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π§΅Thread:
2/ Since 2022, this logistical node has operated as a russian vehicle repair facility, primarily focusing on armored vehicles. Through a comparative analysis of imagery, it becomes evident that the facility is operational, although its capacity remains somewhat limited.
3/ This leads us to the subsequent question: can we dismiss this facility as insignificant in terms of targeting? Simultaneously, is it truly justifiable to deploy 2-3 million dollar Stormshadow missile, limited in supply, against a relatively basic repair shop setup?
4/ The present dilemma, wherein the target is too small to warrant the use of costly weaponry yet too significant to be disregarded, underscores the lack of scale of cost-efficient resolutions for such scenarios at this moment.
5/ There are at least two solutions to this issue: the long-range loitering munitions and the deployment of the GLSDB. Both of these options are relatively cheap, with a range that surpasses that of GMLRS, equipped with a sufficiently large payload to inflict serious damage.
7/ In my view, both these solutions will be pivotal in 2024. The delivery of GLSDB is expected in the fall, and local production needs time to ramp up. I believe ally support in production could be mutually beneficial, particularly within the future sales of a loitering munition.
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