๐ GW1-GW5: Building the Attack
Using @drafthound's 2.5+ goal probabilities (%) to consider best Midfield & Forward options ahead of the GW1 deadline.
๐ฏ Teams to Target
โฝ Over 2.5 Goals %
๐ฎ GW1-3 Point Predictions
๐ Differential Options
#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL
Using @drafthound's 2.5+ goal probabilities (%) to consider best Midfield & Forward options ahead of the GW1 deadline.
๐ฏ Teams to Target
โฝ Over 2.5 Goals %
๐ฎ GW1-3 Point Predictions
๐ Differential Options
#FPL | #FPLCommunity | @OfficialFPL
๐ฆ MAN CITY
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: bur (44%) 3rd
GW2: NEW (45%) 2nd
GW3: shu (54%) 1st
GW4: FUL (53%) 1st
GW5: whu (48%) 1st
Most goals & big chances last season, no surprise to see them most fancied for 2.5+ goals in their opening 5 GWs. But, is only HAALAND enough?
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: bur (44%) 3rd
GW2: NEW (45%) 2nd
GW3: shu (54%) 1st
GW4: FUL (53%) 1st
GW5: whu (48%) 1st
Most goals & big chances last season, no surprise to see them most fancied for 2.5+ goals in their opening 5 GWs. But, is only HAALAND enough?
๐ฏ FODEN could be a golden egg at ยฃ7.5, but like most MCI assets we can't be certain he starts. When it comes to xMins perhaps GREALISH or B.SILVA are worth consideration?
โ At ยฃ10.5, KDB is just too pricey IMO
If we get early team news Friday & FODEN starts, he's in for me!
โ At ยฃ10.5, KDB is just too pricey IMO
If we get early team news Friday & FODEN starts, he's in for me!
๐ฅ ARSENAL
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: NFO (55%) 1st
GW2: cry (31%) 3rd
GW3: FUL (42%) 2nd
GW4: MUN (31%) 3rd
GW5: eve (42%) 2nd
ARS have a lovely run of fixtures to kick off the season & unlike MCI their lineup feels a lot more predictable. I want double ARS attack for GW1
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: NFO (55%) 1st
GW2: cry (31%) 3rd
GW3: FUL (42%) 2nd
GW4: MUN (31%) 3rd
GW5: eve (42%) 2nd
ARS have a lovely run of fixtures to kick off the season & unlike MCI their lineup feels a lot more predictable. I want double ARS attack for GW1
๐ฏ ODEGAARD was ARS' highest scoring FPL player 22/23, however SAKA is the one I'm most keen on, a generous ยฃ8.5 tag
Risk of TROSSARD sharing MARTINELLI mins, but I'm likely to take a punt on Marti w/Saka early doors
Jesus injury should open the door for HAVERTZ to start up top
Risk of TROSSARD sharing MARTINELLI mins, but I'm likely to take a punt on Marti w/Saka early doors
Jesus injury should open the door for HAVERTZ to start up top
๐ฅ MAN UNITED
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: WOL (44%) 3rd
GW2: tot (19%) 7th
GW3: NFO (35%) 3rd
GW4: ars (10%) 15th
GW5: BHA (25%) 7th
Topped the chart for clean sheets 22/23, but MUN only managed 58 goals (8th). The WOL/NFO home games make MUN attack very attractive early on
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: WOL (44%) 3rd
GW2: tot (19%) 7th
GW3: NFO (35%) 3rd
GW4: ars (10%) 15th
GW5: BHA (25%) 7th
Topped the chart for clean sheets 22/23, but MUN only managed 58 goals (8th). The WOL/NFO home games make MUN attack very attractive early on
๐ฅRASHFORD has to be the main target again this season despite his price rise. 17G/7A last season
๐ฅFERNANDES the next best option given his xMins reliability & penalty duty
If you fancy a punt it's ANTONY, MOUNT or a big balls move on GARNACHO
But Rash & Bruno the safe picks
๐ฅFERNANDES the next best option given his xMins reliability & penalty duty
If you fancy a punt it's ANTONY, MOUNT or a big balls move on GARNACHO
But Rash & Bruno the safe picks
๐ฅ LIVERPOOL
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: che (22%) 6th
GW2: BOU (49%) 1st
GW3: new (25%) 5th
GW4: AVL (31%) 4th
GW5: wol (31%) 4th
It's not an easy start to the season for LIV, but we're all considering a ticket to that GW2 lottery following LIV's 9-0 win vs BOU last year..
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: che (22%) 6th
GW2: BOU (49%) 1st
GW3: new (25%) 5th
GW4: AVL (31%) 4th
GW5: wol (31%) 4th
It's not an easy start to the season for LIV, but we're all considering a ticket to that GW2 lottery following LIV's 9-0 win vs BOU last year..
๐ SALAH is the ticket, the most nailed attacker to start, but it's an expensive ticket that can offset your squads balance
After Salah it's a complete guessing game who starts tbh, right now my personal preference at a differential punt would be JOTA, probably followed by GAKPO
After Salah it's a complete guessing game who starts tbh, right now my personal preference at a differential punt would be JOTA, probably followed by GAKPO
๐ฆ BRIGHTON
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: LUT (45%) 2nd
GW2: wol (19%) 5th
GW3: WHU (23%) 7th
GW4: NEW (18%) 8th
GW5: mun (15%) 11th
Feel like we need an attacking asset to accompany Estu given those initial 2 fixtures, however it's harder to predict who starts in attack..
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: LUT (45%) 2nd
GW2: wol (19%) 5th
GW3: WHU (23%) 7th
GW4: NEW (18%) 8th
GW5: mun (15%) 11th
Feel like we need an attacking asset to accompany Estu given those initial 2 fixtures, however it's harder to predict who starts in attack..
๐ฏ MITOMA looks most nailed & safest attacking asset, but returns dried up a bit for the winger last season
Record transfer J.PEDRO seems to be on pen duty, costs just ยฃ5.5
FERGUSON is surely too good to be benched? But competing with WELBECK
MARCH the best BHA differential
Record transfer J.PEDRO seems to be on pen duty, costs just ยฃ5.5
FERGUSON is surely too good to be benched? But competing with WELBECK
MARCH the best BHA differential
๐ฆ CHELSEA
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: LIV (18%) 10th
GW2: whu (19%) 6th
GW3: LUT (33%) 4th
GW4: NFO (33%) 2nd
GW5: bou (29%) 5th
LIV not ideal GW1 but thereafter CHE attack needs some real consideration, especially under Poch's watch. GW3-GW5 fixtures are very appealing.
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: LIV (18%) 10th
GW2: whu (19%) 6th
GW3: LUT (33%) 4th
GW4: NFO (33%) 2nd
GW5: bou (29%) 5th
LIV not ideal GW1 but thereafter CHE attack needs some real consideration, especially under Poch's watch. GW3-GW5 fixtures are very appealing.
๐ฏ After a great pre-season its a shame NKUNKU is injured, looks a great asset. JACKSON replaces him as the obvious pick in the CHE attack IMO
We have a couple of GWs to assess CHE before that GW3 fixture swing. I'll be keeping tabs on MUDRYK/STERLING as potential differentials
We have a couple of GWs to assess CHE before that GW3 fixture swing. I'll be keeping tabs on MUDRYK/STERLING as potential differentials
โฌ SPURS
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: bre (23%) 6th
GW2: MUN (19%) 9th
GW3: bou (31%) 5th
GW4: bur (27%) 6th
GW5: SHU (35%) 3rd
I don't think the opening 2 fixtures are actually that bad for TOT. Whilst they might look tricky, TOT has fixture-proof assets in attack..
๐๏ธ Fixtures (2.5+ Goals %)
GW1: bre (23%) 6th
GW2: MUN (19%) 9th
GW3: bou (31%) 5th
GW4: bur (27%) 6th
GW5: SHU (35%) 3rd
I don't think the opening 2 fixtures are actually that bad for TOT. Whilst they might look tricky, TOT has fixture-proof assets in attack..
๐ฏ If KANE stays he's undoubtedly the best asset at TOT, but that price tag makes him difficult to prioritise over Haaland & Salah. Also makes him a huge differential..
๐จ At ยฃ5.0 less MADDISON is playing very advanced, a far easier TOT attack asset to fit into your structure
๐จ At ยฃ5.0 less MADDISON is playing very advanced, a far easier TOT attack asset to fit into your structure
๐ BEST OF THE REST
๐ฅ Following TOT GW1 BRE have a lovely run of fixtures. Without Toney MBEUMO's become the talisman, also on pens. WISSA a good differential option
๐ช AVL have nice fixtures & attractive assets. WATKINS the obvious pick but DIABY a lovely, cheaper alternative
๐ฅ Following TOT GW1 BRE have a lovely run of fixtures. Without Toney MBEUMO's become the talisman, also on pens. WISSA a good differential option
๐ช AVL have nice fixtures & attractive assets. WATKINS the obvious pick but DIABY a lovely, cheaper alternative
๐ BEST OF THE REST
๐ช CRY kick off the season with a lovely trip to SHU, EZE finished the 22/23 season on fire & has had a storming pre-season with 2G/5A
โฌ NEW have a horrible run of fixtures to start off but worth noting that ยฃ4.5 midfielder ANDERSON has 4G/3A in pre season
๐ช CRY kick off the season with a lovely trip to SHU, EZE finished the 22/23 season on fire & has had a storming pre-season with 2G/5A
โฌ NEW have a horrible run of fixtures to start off but worth noting that ยฃ4.5 midfielder ANDERSON has 4G/3A in pre season
๐ธ MID/FWD ENABLERS
โก๏ธ ยฃ5.5 & Below
๐จ MID:
๐ฅ Garnacho (ยฃ5.0)
๐ช Douglas Luiz (ยฃ5.5)
โฌ Andreas (ยฃ5.5)
โฌ Wilson (ยฃ5.5)
โฌ Anderson (ยฃ4.5)
๐ฆ Enciso (ยฃ5.5)
๐ง Nakamba (ยฃ4.5)
๐ช Schlupp (ยฃ5.0)
๐ FWD:
๐ฆ Pedro (ยฃ5.5)
๐ง Morris (ยฃ5.5)
๐ช Mubama (ยฃ4.5)
โฌ Jimenez (ยฃ5.5)
โก๏ธ ยฃ5.5 & Below
๐จ MID:
๐ฅ Garnacho (ยฃ5.0)
๐ช Douglas Luiz (ยฃ5.5)
โฌ Andreas (ยฃ5.5)
โฌ Wilson (ยฃ5.5)
โฌ Anderson (ยฃ4.5)
๐ฆ Enciso (ยฃ5.5)
๐ง Nakamba (ยฃ4.5)
๐ช Schlupp (ยฃ5.0)
๐ FWD:
๐ฆ Pedro (ยฃ5.5)
๐ง Morris (ยฃ5.5)
๐ช Mubama (ยฃ4.5)
โฌ Jimenez (ยฃ5.5)
๐ฎ MID PREDICTED POINTS GW1-3
1๏ธโฃ Salah 19.2
2๏ธโฃ Saka 18.3
3๏ธโฃ Martinelli 16.5
4๏ธโฃ Rashford 15.9
5๏ธโฃ Grealish 15.4
6๏ธโฃ Fernandes 15.2
๐ฑ Full list available at:
drafthound.com
1๏ธโฃ Salah 19.2
2๏ธโฃ Saka 18.3
3๏ธโฃ Martinelli 16.5
4๏ธโฃ Rashford 15.9
5๏ธโฃ Grealish 15.4
6๏ธโฃ Fernandes 15.2
๐ฑ Full list available at:
drafthound.com
๐ฎ FWD PREDICTED POINTS GW1-3
1๏ธโฃ Haaland 23.2
2๏ธโฃ Kane 16.2
3๏ธโฃ Watkins 11.6
4๏ธโฃ Isak 11.5
5๏ธโฃ Darwin 11.0
6๏ธโฃ Wilson 11.0
๐ฑ Full list available at:
drafthound.com
1๏ธโฃ Haaland 23.2
2๏ธโฃ Kane 16.2
3๏ธโฃ Watkins 11.6
4๏ธโฃ Isak 11.5
5๏ธโฃ Darwin 11.0
6๏ธโฃ Wilson 11.0
๐ฑ Full list available at:
drafthound.com
๐ฎ DIFFERENTIALS GW1-GW3
Point Predictions for all MID/FWDs with Under 10% TSB%.
1๏ธโฃ Grealish (6.9%) 15.3
2๏ธโฃ Diaz (6.0%) 14.7
3๏ธโฃ Son (4.6%) 14.0
4๏ธโฃ Mount (4.9%) 12.6
5๏ธโฃ Gross (4.9%) 12.1
6๏ธโฃ Sterling (2.2%) 12.0
๐ฑFull list available at:
drafthound.com
Point Predictions for all MID/FWDs with Under 10% TSB%.
1๏ธโฃ Grealish (6.9%) 15.3
2๏ธโฃ Diaz (6.0%) 14.7
3๏ธโฃ Son (4.6%) 14.0
4๏ธโฃ Mount (4.9%) 12.6
5๏ธโฃ Gross (4.9%) 12.1
6๏ธโฃ Sterling (2.2%) 12.0
๐ฑFull list available at:
drafthound.com
๐ MID/FWD PTS PER GAME 22/23
โฑ๏ธ Over 1000+ Mins Only
๐จ MID
1๏ธโฃ Salah 6.3
2๏ธโฃ Rashford 5.9
3๏ธโฃ Odegaard 5.7
4๏ธโฃ De Bruyne 5.7
5๏ธโฃ Martinelli 5.5
๐ FWD
1๏ธโฃ Haaland 7.8
2๏ธโฃ Kane 6.9
3๏ธโฃ Toney 5.5*
4๏ธโฃ Wilson 5.1
5๏ธโฃ Jesus 4.8
โฑ๏ธ Over 1000+ Mins Only
๐จ MID
1๏ธโฃ Salah 6.3
2๏ธโฃ Rashford 5.9
3๏ธโฃ Odegaard 5.7
4๏ธโฃ De Bruyne 5.7
5๏ธโฃ Martinelli 5.5
๐ FWD
1๏ธโฃ Haaland 7.8
2๏ธโฃ Kane 6.9
3๏ธโฃ Toney 5.5*
4๏ธโฃ Wilson 5.1
5๏ธโฃ Jesus 4.8
โ๏ธ SQUAD BALANCE TOOL
โ๐ป My Current Draft
๐ฅ TBC
๐ง Estupinan, Pedro, Martinelli
๐จ Stones, Fernandes, Chilwell, Maddison
๐ฉ Haaland, Saka, Rashford, Gabriel, Onana, Areola/Taylor, Kabore, Mubama
Current thought is that I'll sell Estupinan, Pedro, maybe Martinelli before GW5.
โ๐ป My Current Draft
๐ฅ TBC
๐ง Estupinan, Pedro, Martinelli
๐จ Stones, Fernandes, Chilwell, Maddison
๐ฉ Haaland, Saka, Rashford, Gabriel, Onana, Areola/Taylor, Kabore, Mubama
Current thought is that I'll sell Estupinan, Pedro, maybe Martinelli before GW5.
๐งค GOALKEEPER/DEFENDER THREAD
If you found this thread helpful or in any way interesting and fancied checking out the GK/DEF version, then you can find it here:
If you found this thread helpful or in any way interesting and fancied checking out the GK/DEF version, then you can find it here:
๐จ Lastly, another shout out to @fplmerch at @LazyFPL who collects hours of FPL research & condenses it into a fun, 4-minute email that's sent out 24hrs before every deadline. And it's absolutely free!
Subscribe now using the link below! โคต๏ธ
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Subscribe now using the link below! โคต๏ธ
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