@thinkdefence has a very interesting question on the Russo-Ukrainian War with a set of answers that reflects his interests.
I think this is a useful crowdsourced learning exercise.
I'm going to repost my top three takeaways & add my reasons.
Please post yours in reply.
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I think this is a useful crowdsourced learning exercise.
I'm going to repost my top three takeaways & add my reasons.
Please post yours in reply.
1/
What Ukraine has changed or reinforced my thinking on:
1. Industrial warfare never went away.
2. Western military procurement is broken
3. Western Intelligence is broken/incompetent on anything to do with logistics & supply chains.
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1. Industrial warfare never went away.
2. Western military procurement is broken
3. Western Intelligence is broken/incompetent on anything to do with logistics & supply chains.
2/
My reasons for that list
#1 - Russia was throwing 65,000 shells a day and Ukraine was throwing 5K to 15K shells a day in return. Russia has lost ~8K armored fighting vehicles/artillery/trucks & Ukraine ~2K.
#2 - Everyone in the West prefers shiny new platforms, jets, tanks
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#1 - Russia was throwing 65,000 shells a day and Ukraine was throwing 5K to 15K shells a day in return. Russia has lost ~8K armored fighting vehicles/artillery/trucks & Ukraine ~2K.
#2 - Everyone in the West prefers shiny new platforms, jets, tanks
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#2 con't - & ships...the bling & not the basics.
We know this because everyone in the West has run out of artillery ammunition and armored fighting vehicles to resupply Ukraine.
Everyone is running out of missile stocks.
No one in the West has enough enough of any kind
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We know this because everyone in the West has run out of artillery ammunition and armored fighting vehicles to resupply Ukraine.
Everyone is running out of missile stocks.
No one in the West has enough enough of any kind
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#2 con't - ...of drones, let alone the right kinds at the right price.
#3 - Western intelligence missed for 80 years that the Russian military didn't use mechanized logistics.
Western Intelligence utterly failed to anticipate the size of the Russian artillery reserves and
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#3 - Western intelligence missed for 80 years that the Russian military didn't use mechanized logistics.
Western Intelligence utterly failed to anticipate the size of the Russian artillery reserves and
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#3 Con't - ...Russia's ability to make more shells.
Western Intelligence never worked out the connection between that the chemical feed stocks for fertilizer and the chemical feed stocks for artillery explosives & propellants were the same.
And this goes back to at least
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Western Intelligence never worked out the connection between that the chemical feed stocks for fertilizer and the chemical feed stocks for artillery explosives & propellants were the same.
And this goes back to at least
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#3 con't - ...the 1960's in the relevant CIA freedom of information act intelligence documents I have reviewed.
Those were my observations on the Russo-Ukrainian War & the reasons for them.
What are yours?
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Those were my observations on the Russo-Ukrainian War & the reasons for them.
What are yours?
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@thinkdefence has a different audience than mine, so I'm intensely curious what the smart folks on Twitter will reply with.
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