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Investment
Decision Making
Mark Zuckerberg only wears gray shirts
Jeff Bezos doesn't make big decisions after 5 pm
Understanding WHY will make you a better Crypto Investor:
Jeff Bezos doesn't make big decisions after 5 pm
Understanding WHY will make you a better Crypto Investor:
Your investment results are determined by the QUALITY of your decisions & judgment.
You can improve these skills.
I'm going to share with you 1 of the most important concepts I've ever learned, along with examples from my own life.
Let's dive in.
You can improve these skills.
I'm going to share with you 1 of the most important concepts I've ever learned, along with examples from my own life.
Let's dive in.
The Decision Making is like a Muscle
You can make hundreds of decisions a day.
The more you USE it throughout the day, the weaker it gets.
It's kinda like a battery.
You don't want to exhaust your brain battery in the morning and then make investment decisions afterward.
You can make hundreds of decisions a day.
The more you USE it throughout the day, the weaker it gets.
It's kinda like a battery.
You don't want to exhaust your brain battery in the morning and then make investment decisions afterward.
Jeff Bezos on Decision Making
"We donβt need to maximize the number of decisions we make per day.
Making a small number of key decisions well is more important than making a large number of decisions."
Jeff limits the number of high-value decisions to 3 a day.
"We donβt need to maximize the number of decisions we make per day.
Making a small number of key decisions well is more important than making a large number of decisions."
Jeff limits the number of high-value decisions to 3 a day.
You have to separate the low value from the high-value decisions.
You want to budget as much brainpower as possible towards high-value decisions.
What's the difference between the two?
You want to budget as much brainpower as possible towards high-value decisions.
What's the difference between the two?
Spend the smallest effort on low-value decisions.
No matter how rational you try to be, you can't make decision after decision without consequences.
Once the brain gets stressed, it starts looking for shortcuts to ease the mental burden.
No matter how rational you try to be, you can't make decision after decision without consequences.
Once the brain gets stressed, it starts looking for shortcuts to ease the mental burden.
Consequences of Decision Fatigue
Two things happen when you're mentally fatigued:
a. You start thinking impulsively. You chose the "easier" option rather than using energy to think critically.
b. You avoid making decisions altogether aka procrastination.
Two things happen when you're mentally fatigued:
a. You start thinking impulsively. You chose the "easier" option rather than using energy to think critically.
b. You avoid making decisions altogether aka procrastination.
Insight: Automate and ELIMINATE as many low-value decisions as possible.
This gives your brain the energy and space to think.
Here are some examples from my personal life to help illustrate.
This gives your brain the energy and space to think.
Here are some examples from my personal life to help illustrate.
/3 Automation & rules
β’ I automated all my bills
β’ I only "go out" Friday and Saturday nights.
β’ Screens off after 8 pm.
β’ I schedule most of my tweets
β’ I travel in business class if the flight is over 6 hours.
1 decision stops me from making hundreds of decisions.
β’ I automated all my bills
β’ I only "go out" Friday and Saturday nights.
β’ Screens off after 8 pm.
β’ I schedule most of my tweets
β’ I travel in business class if the flight is over 6 hours.
1 decision stops me from making hundreds of decisions.
Applying These Concepts to Crypto
How can we use this knowledge to become better investors?
/1 I only make big decisions in the morning.
20m meditation.
Go for a walk.
Workout.
Coffee.
I don't want to make investments at 7 pm when I'm drained.
How can we use this knowledge to become better investors?
/1 I only make big decisions in the morning.
20m meditation.
Go for a walk.
Workout.
Coffee.
I don't want to make investments at 7 pm when I'm drained.
/3 I have set portfolio allocation targets among my stable coins, low risk, med risk, and high risk. This takes out some emotions of my process.
/4 I focus on certain sectors.
I don't do NFT's. This rule makes it easy for me to say no whenever there's an opportunity.
/4 I focus on certain sectors.
I don't do NFT's. This rule makes it easy for me to say no whenever there's an opportunity.
You can come up with your own rules.
Ex.
β’ No Anon founders
β’ A project has to be over 6 months old before investing. This counters "pump and dumps"
β’ The protocol HAS to be audited before you invest.
Rules can help you narrow your focus.
Ex.
β’ No Anon founders
β’ A project has to be over 6 months old before investing. This counters "pump and dumps"
β’ The protocol HAS to be audited before you invest.
Rules can help you narrow your focus.
The whole point of this is to be able to allocate resources towards higher leverage activities such as:
β’ Researching Projects
β’ Talking to Teams directly
β’ Talking to my trading network
β’ Trading decisions
β’ Writing
There's only so much time in a day.
β’ Researching Projects
β’ Talking to Teams directly
β’ Talking to my trading network
β’ Trading decisions
β’ Writing
There's only so much time in a day.
Me and my friends had a rule in college.
Don't make decisions if you're drunk
Don't make decisions if you're horny.
DEFINITELY don't make decisions when you're both at the same time.
So these days, I don't make decisions when I'm mentally fatigued.
Don't make decisions if you're drunk
Don't make decisions if you're horny.
DEFINITELY don't make decisions when you're both at the same time.
So these days, I don't make decisions when I'm mentally fatigued.
Investing and Trading are Intellectual Sports
Athletes train their bodies.
You have to train your mind.
Look for every single mental edge possible. (+EV)
If I believe that eating the same Grilled chicken salad every day gives me an edge, then I'm going to do it.
Athletes train their bodies.
You have to train your mind.
Look for every single mental edge possible. (+EV)
If I believe that eating the same Grilled chicken salad every day gives me an edge, then I'm going to do it.
One More Note
"I'd love to do that, but try doing it with a full-time job and kids!"
I get it - not everyone has the options and freedom I do.
But these are the concepts that have HELPED me get to where I am.
You should understand the concepts, and apply what you can.
"I'd love to do that, but try doing it with a full-time job and kids!"
I get it - not everyone has the options and freedom I do.
But these are the concepts that have HELPED me get to where I am.
You should understand the concepts, and apply what you can.
Thatβs it for today.
If you found this thread valuable:
1. Follow me for threads on DeFi, frameworks, and the latest trends β
@thedefiedge
2. I've started a weekly newsletter where I go deeper into these topics.
Join 5,000+ others at thedefiedge.com
If you found this thread valuable:
1. Follow me for threads on DeFi, frameworks, and the latest trends β
@thedefiedge
2. I've started a weekly newsletter where I go deeper into these topics.
Join 5,000+ others at thedefiedge.com
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